In response to this analysis of the likelihood that Manning might be a UK citizen
It seems dual citizen isn’t the loophole that’s going to free Bradley Manning. Even if Manning were a UK citizen and a civilian being held without trial in Guantanamo Bay, the situation would be bleak:
Australian Guantánamo Bay inmate David Matthew Hicks applied for British citizenship in 2005 after the previous 2002 legislation allowed citizenship by virtue of maternal heritage. It was considered that the British government may petition for his release as had been done for other British nationals. After a lengthy court battle with the Home Office, Hicks was granted British citizenship on 5 July 2006, but then stripped of it several hours later under section 56 of the Act allowing the Home Secretary to “deprive a person of a citizenship status if the Secretary of State is satisfied that deprivation is conducive to the public good.” Source
This amendment gives the Secretary of State carte blanche:
Under amendments made by the Immigration, Asylum and Nationality Act 2006, British nationals can be deprived of their citizenship if the Secretary of State is satisfied “deprivation is conducive to the public good”. Source
It gets worse.
Under international law, the Master Nationality Rule requires that “when a dual citizen is in the country of one of his two nationalities, that country has the right to treat that person as if he or she were solely a citizen or national of that country. This includes the right to impose military service obligations, or to require an exit permit to leave.”
I wouldn’t hold my breath in hopes that UK will set out to assist Private Manning in virtue of his dual citizenship. The bleakness of the situation is important to acknowledge because in wasting our energies on low-probability outcomes, we thereby overlook more promising possibilities.